Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.414925 0.451695 0.491651 0.538543 0.592393 0.652693 0.725883
2025-01-19 0.339404 0.390451 0.450830 0.528721 0.628394 0.754390 0.930429
2025-01-26 0.301862 0.362418 0.439036 0.546045 0.696880 0.911091 1.258050
2025-02-02 0.281483 0.350246 0.442413 0.580641 0.794193 1.135605 1.788024
2025-02-09 0.257124 0.328195 0.427531 0.584737 0.845915 1.307423 2.335872
2025-02-16 0.233550 0.303665 0.404730 0.571312 0.864332 1.426903 2.867501
2025-02-23 0.217339 0.287460 0.391490 0.569777 0.901648 1.596291 3.679307
2025-03-02 0.201544 0.270077 0.374035 0.557762 0.915843 1.722481 4.523952
2025-03-09 0.187924 0.254622 0.357735 0.544889 0.924865 1.841094 5.531867
2025-03-16 0.176431 0.241411 0.343589 0.533598 0.934326 1.966338 6.829547
2025-03-23 0.170717 0.236653 0.342710 0.546532 0.999796 2.284846 10.126312
2025-03-30 0.162704 0.227585 0.333608 0.542175 1.024239 2.495125 13.766102
2025-04-06 0.151953 0.213791 0.315886 0.519836 1.003597 2.557042 16.784481
2025-04-13 0.141889 0.200654 0.298558 0.496824 0.978197 2.598884 20.430562
2025-04-20 0.137665 0.196859 0.297452 0.507418 1.044860 3.069321 41.024818
2025-04-27 0.136190 0.197500 0.304347 0.536306 1.173803 4.001840 192.140777
2025-05-04 0.131480 0.192280 0.299869 0.539164 1.227330 4.645186 1834.884412
2025-05-11 0.125399 0.184311 0.289516 0.526974 1.229314 4.985026 NaN
2025-05-18 0.121040 0.179084 0.284002 0.525508 1.267691 5.680124 NaN
2025-05-25 0.116017 0.172406 0.275155 0.514808 1.270825 6.122294 NaN
2025-06-01 0.111287 0.166009 0.266423 0.503358 1.268456 6.539922 NaN
2025-06-08 0.107037 0.160263 0.258604 0.493309 1.269051 7.023744 NaN
2025-06-15 0.105220 0.158785 0.259204 0.504812 1.359111 8.901457 NaN